Showing posts with label Financial Planning. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Financial Planning. Show all posts

Sunday, November 08, 2015

Social Security Benefit Increases Do Not Keep Pace With Retiree Costs

Many retirees receiving a social security benefit know their monthly benefit will not receive a cost of living adjustment in 2016. This is the third time in the last six years where social security benefits did not increase due to the low inflation environment. ICMA-RC recently compared the growth in social security benefits to the growth in some standard costs faced by retirees. As the below chart shows, some of the basic costs retirees face have far outpaced the growth of their social security benefit.

From The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
Source: ICMA-RC

As noted in the ICMA-RC article, it is important retirees, and really future retirees, do not put themselves in a situation where social security is their only source of retirement income. Further, retiree investment funds should be invested in a way that provides the opportunity for the funds to grow in excess of the rate of inflation. Even in a low inflation environment basic costs are likely to increase. Additionally, with the Federal Reserve approaching lift off for the Fed Funds rate, a rate increase can have a negative impact on the performance of interest sensitive investments. In a post we wrote in 2013, Chasing Yield Has A Downside When Interest Rates Rise, we detailed the performance of a few categories of interest sensitive assets during a period of rising interest rates. Some investors believe "yield" investments are safer since they pay interest or a higher dividend. As noted in the previously mentioned article, these yield type investments can generate poor returns when interest rates do rise.


Sunday, June 01, 2014

College Costs A Bigger Hurdle Than Health Care Costs For Many

Terry Horan, CLU, ChFC is CEO of HORAN Associates, HORAN Capital Advisors' business partner. Terry often states the two greatest challenges facing Americans today are:
  • access to quality, affordable health care; and
  • securing professional counsel to build and sustain wealth for a lifetime
After seeing a report from JP Morgan Asset Management, I wonder if one of the greatest challenges of all for families is being able to finance their children's education. Below are several slides pulled from the 46-page booklet. First a couple of highlights:
  • since 1983 college tuition costs have increased faster than any other household expense. Tuition costs have increased a cumulative 645% versus health care's cumulative increase of 326%.
  • at a 5% annual increase, college costs will more than double by 2030
  • for children born today, the projected cost of a four-year private college education will total over $409,913. The same cost for a public education will total over $185,000.

From The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors

From The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors

From The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors

Young families will be hard pressed to save enough funds to finance their children's education costs. In addition to a well thought out saving plan, the dollars saved will need to be invested in asset classes that can generate significant positive returns. In our firm's view bonds will not grow at an adequate rate so families will need to position their investments in potentially better returning asset classes like equities and alternatives.


Monday, March 24, 2014

You Are Wealthy: No Liquid Assets, $50,000 In Illiquid Assets

I was taken aback by an article that appeared on the Washington Post's Wonkblog. The article title, Living paycheck to paycheck: It’s not just for the poor, states a wealthy individual is one with no liquid assets and $50,000 in illiquid assets. The relevant part of the article noted,
"The Wealthy Hand-to-Mouth," by economists at Princeton and New York University, finds that roughly one-third of American households -- 38 million of them -- are living a paycheck-to-paycheck existence. These are families who hold little to no liquid wealth from cash, savings or checking accounts. But a staggering two-thirds of these households are not actually poor; while they resemble poor families in their lack of liquid wealth, they own substantial holdings ($50,000, on average) in illiquid assets (emphasis added). Because this money is locked up in things like their houses, cars and retirement accounts, they can't easily dip into it when times get tough.
I hate to break it to many readers, but an individual or family that has an average of $50,000 in illiquid assets and no savings will not live a comfortable retirement. The conclusion of the article states this type of individual should be eligible for government entitlement programs. The article refers to these entitlements as "economic stimulus programs."


Sunday, March 23, 2014

Saving At A Younger Age Pays Off In Retirement

In J.P. Morgan's recently released Guide To Retirement, one chart in the guide notes the advantage of beginning a savings program at an early age. The early start to a savings program generates its payoff due to the power of compounding. Compounding refers to the process of earning return on principal plus the return that was earned earlier. I believe the below chart speaks for itself, but with entitlement reform an almost foregone conclusion, retirees will need savings outside of government provided programs like social security.

From The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors

h/t: Reuters Data Dive


Sunday, December 29, 2013

Retirement Crisis

Chip Castle, a managing Director at Blackrock, recently wrote an article about the the lack of savings by individuals looking to retire. The article, Retirement in 2014: It’s Your Number that Counts, highlights a number of facts that point to the savings shortfall of potential retirees. A few of the facts noted in the article:
  • $6.6 trillion: That’s what the Center for Retirement Research has estimated as the gap between what people will need in retirement and what they have saved.
  • 20 years: A generation ago, when most of the current retirement system was created, life expectancy at 65 was 5 to 7 years. Today, it’s closer to 20 years, meaning if you retire at age 65, retirements are three times as long.
  • 65%: Building on the last point, a couple at age 65 has a 65% chance of one of them reaching their 90th birthday.
The article is a worthwhile read for investors looking to to make a few financial resolutions in the coming year. HORAN's financial planning director also wrote an article, A Retirement Crisis: Sound the Alarm, earlier in the year that also cited the crisis for those seeking to retire. His article provides a link to a survey by Employee Benefit Research Institute noting the lack of confidence of workers in their ability to retire due to insufficient savings.


Saturday, November 16, 2013

Benchmarking Investment Performance

An important task for investment managers and clients is to develop an investment policy statement (IPS) for the investment portfolios that are being managed. The IPS details guidelines specific to the client that outlines the client's goals and objectives. Some of the criteria of the IPS will detail the goals and objectives of the client along with liquidity needs. In the end the IPS will serve as a road-map for the investment manager in managing the client's portfolio as well as detail the specific asset allocation for the client's account(s). For the client then, the next step is evaluating the manager's investment results, not only against the criteria in the IPS, but also compared to relevant performance benchmarks. The question then becomes what are appropriate performance benchmarks.

Selection of an appropriate benchmark is not as clear cut as it may seem. In selecting a benchmark should the market benchmark be a capitalization weighted one or a price weighted one? Or should the benchmark really be tied to achieving specific return parameters that might be outlined in one's financial plan? Below I will discuss the difference between these various benchmarks with thoughts on the most appropriate one to use for evaluating an investment manager's performance.

Capitalization Weighted Benchmark: Probably the most common capitalization weighted benchmark is the S&P 500 Index. The holdings that comprise the index are weighted based on capitalization. This is determined by multiplying a company's stock price by the number of shares outstanding. As a consequence larger companies command a higher weighting within capitalization indexes.

Price Weighted Benchmark: In a  price weighted benchmark the index companies are weighted based on a company's respective stock price. For example, a company with a stock price of $100 would have twice the weighting as a company with a stock price of $50. The disadvantage of price weighted indexes is a company's actual stock price does not have much to do with why a company with a larger share price has a larger weighting. Also, a company's stock price is influenced by the number of shares outstanding; thus shares outstanding heavily influence the stock's price and weighting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an example of a price weighted index.

Equal Weighted Benchmark: As the description indicates the company weightings in an equal weighted benchmark are equal. Smaller size companies will have the same weighting as larger companies. One negative of an equal weighted benchmark is the benchmark requires frequent rebalancing in order to maintain the equal weighting. If one's portfolio is attempting to mimic the equal weighted benchmark transaction cost and capital gain taxes will likely be higher. Also, the smaller companies in the index may actually be difficult to replicate in an actual portfolio due to liquidity constraints. Equal weighted benchmarks and ETFs have gained in popularity. One reason may be the fact smaller capitalization companies have outperformed larger cap companies over the last four and a half years.

Goals Based Benchmarks:  The key component of a goals based benchmark is the direct relationship to an investor's future goals and objectives. In constructing this type of benchmark the investor will need to define his or her future needs as it relates to asset levels and spending needs. Often times this is best accomplished by the investor developing a financial plan. Institutions, such as not for profit organizations, can benefit from goals based benchmarks as well. Equivalent to the financial plan is a longer term financial projection, say a 1, 3 and 5 year budget. The performance of one's investments will most likely deviate from the financial goals established in the plan. What is critically important is to attempt quantify these deviations or construct a portfolio that minimizes the downside deviations. It is becoming more wide spread that performance reporting incorporates some type of downside measurement. Morningstar reports include upside and downside data in the reports they prepare on mutual funds and ETFs.

The benefit of goals based benchmarks seems clear, that is, one's portfolio construction is tied to achieving the targets laid out in the financial plan. Investors will likely not be happy if their manager says they beat the benchmark return by generating a negative 28% return when the benchmark is down 30% and now the client needs to adjust their lifestyle.

I believe goals based benchmarking is important. I do not believe it should be relied upon in a vacuum. If the equity market is up 30% and the investor's portfolio is up 10%, although this might achieve the goal targets in the financial plan, a discussion between the client and investment manager needs to center around why the large return difference. Is the difference the result of poor investment selections or a too conservative asset mix? In the end there needs to be a balance between the risk being taken in the investment portfolio as well as achieving the goals based returns. For clients that are withdrawing funds from their investment portfolio on a regular basis, downside risk management can be very important, vis-à-vis the percentage withdrawal rate.


Sunday, July 07, 2013

Women And Investing

Consuelo Mack of WealthTrack recently aired two interview segments that focused on women and their investing and retirement needs. American women control $8 trillion in assets and this figure is expected to grow to $22 trillion by the end of the decade. Yet the traditional wealth management approach doesn’t necessarily work for women’s needs. In the first video Consuelo Mack's guests, Morgan Stanley’s Ami Forte, and GenSpring’s Senior Strategist, Jewelle Bickford, discuss how women can start taking ownership of their financial power.

Importantly, only 1 in 5 women have determined how much money they will need in order to maintain their lifestyle in retirement. From a longevity perspective, on average women will live 5 years longer than a man. Today, 75% of the population age 85 years old or over is comprised of women.

In the second video below (Part II), Consuelo Mack notes, "Women worry about becoming bag ladies in their old age and men focus too much on performance numbers, which isn’t always the best way to plan for the future."  Her guests are Mary Beth Franklin, a contributing editor for InvestmentNews as well as an expert on social security, and Erin Botsford, founder and CEO of the Botsford Group, where they explain why women are so different from men in their approach in planning for the so-called “Golden Years”.



In the first video the guests note investments today are more than simply allocating ones investment funds between stocks, bonds and cash. At HORAN our investment approach incorporates other asset classes as well. Our alternative allocation is an effort to enhance a client's investment returns without taking the same level of risk as equities, but generate a return better than fixed income or bonds. As Ami Forte notes in the first video, bonds were traditionally known as safe asset class, however, the recent rise in interest rates has exposed just how risky the bond asset class can be.


Sunday, October 28, 2012

HORAN Begins Financial Planning Blog

A few days ago, HORAN's Director of Financial Planning, Michael Napier, joined the blogosphere by starting HORAN's financial planning blog. As Michael notes in his initial post,

"Everybody blogs. In fact, it is estimated that close to 44 million blogs are created each year. Doing the math, that is nearly one new blog per second! So why am I jumping into the blogosphere? To help you get one step closer to achieving your financial goals in easy-to-understand language.

Two of the biggest challenges facing Americans today are access to great health care and the discipline to sustain wealth management strategies such as making smart decisions about investing and wealth transfer. My focus will primarily be sharing topics I come across on a daily basis to help your financial life. Strategies in tax- savings, estate planning, college savings, budgeting, insurance and retirement will be discussed."
Subsequent to the initial post, he wrote two articles readers will find of interest.

The RSS Feed for all of the HORAN blogs can be found here: HORAN RSS Blog Feed


Wednesday, February 08, 2012

Congress Desires To Eliminate Tax Deferral Option Of Inherited IRAs

In Congress' effort to continue transportation funding, Senate Finance Chairman Max Baucus (D., Mont.) has recommended the bill include a provision limiting the tax deferral options of inherited IRAs unless the IRAs have been converted to a Roth. In simple terms, currently, inherited IRA beneficiaries are able to withdrawal funds over the beneficiary's life expectancy. Beginning in 2013, the proposed legislation would require most non-spouse inheritors of traditional IRAs to withdraw the entire amount from a traditional IRA within five years. There are a few exceptions that are detailed in a recent Forbes article, Congress May Crush Key Tool For IRA Inheritors. The Forbes article notes, "Let’s hope there’s enough of a public outcry that this legislation doesn’t pass. If it does, owners of traditional IRAs will have one more reason to convert them to Roth accounts. The mark up legislation can be viewed at this link (PDF).


Saturday, July 19, 2008

Risk Tolerance And The Estate Plan

The recent sell off in the stock market has investors reevaluating their investment risk tolerance. Beyond ones investment risk tolerance, all investor should ensure they include this evaluation within an overall financial plan. A key aspect of the financial plan is establishing a comprehensive estate plan.

Setting up an estate plan can be a difficult undertaking because some aspects of the estate plan deal with events that take place upon ones death. A recent article in the American Association of Individual Investors, Reassessing Your Risk Tolerance? Don't Overlook Estate Planning, notes:
[estate planning] provides peace of mind that your assets will pass according to your wishes at the least cost and administrative burden. Whatever one's reasons for taking the risk of not planning, there is no doubt that it is a risk that one should not take.
A key aspect of an estate plan is having a properly executed will. The will identifies how some assets are transferred upon ones death. Not having a will can result in the state determining how your assets are distributed after your death. Not many people want the state involved in these type of personal decisions. Additionally, assets can be transferred outside of a will via stipulations in assets like IRAs, 401(k)s and life insurance contracts.

The AAII article details six simple questions one can address in constructing an estate plan:
  1. Identify the goals,
  2. Gather the data and make assumptions,
  3. Evaluate the feasibility of your goals,
  4. Develop your strategies,
  5. Implement the decisions, and
  6. Review your progress.
The conclusion of the AAII article notes, "once you have recognized the risks of not having an estate plan, and how relatively simple it can be to establish one, then perhaps you will be motivated to go through the process outlined above. At a minimum, a will and powers of attorney, coordinated with the proper titling of assets and beneficiary designations, can help you to administer your assets during life and at death..."

To find out more detail on an overall financial plan, I wrote a post mid year last year, Financial Planning Toolkit from CCH, that highlights a free website with information on overall financial planning. Included in the CCH website is the topic of estate planning.

Source:
Reassessing Your Risk Tolerance? Don't Overlook Estate Planning
American Association of Individual Investors
By: Ellen J. Boling, CFP
2008
http://www.aaii.com/includes/DisplayArticle.cfm?Article_Id=2327&digit=219


Tuesday, December 25, 2007

Topics To Consider Before The New Year Begins

  • Review their portfolio asset allocation. An article from the American Association of Individual Investors, The Basic Truths About Asset Allocation, provides helpful hints on portfolio management.
  • S&P reports 40% of consumers will dedicate more of the increase in their 2007 holiday spending to the Internet than to any other channel. This is coupled with the finding that among those polled, 70% planned to do at least a portion of their shopping online. Participants’ responses further revealed that 22% of holiday shopping in 2006 was done online.


Sunday, July 01, 2007

Financial Planning Toolkit from CCH

CCH has created a website that provides a large number of free financial planning tools. These tools are separated into various categories, but in general, they are broken out as follows:
  • The information you need to manage your personal finances.
  • Calculators to help you assess your financial position and better manage your money.
  • Forms and tools to help you organize and manage your personal finances.
The site enables one to evaluate a number of essential factors important to achieving financial goals. A portion of the Table of Contents is detailed below:


Who Is Watching Your 401(k) Investments?

This week's Businessweek issue contains a number of articles and suggestions on how to retire early. One of the articles discussed the importance of seeking outside advice in the management of ones 401(k) investments. Simply obtaing advice is only one piece of the puzzle. The article notes the advice needs to be the right advice.

If one plans on seeking an independent adviser to assist in management of their 401(k), one should obtain answers to the following questions noted in the article:
  • How well does the adviser know your plan? Ideally the person should be familiar with or willing to learn about how your 401(k) works and the investment choices available.
  • How will your adviser find the right investment mix for you? Smart asset allocation and consistent rebalancing are the main investing strategies that can make early retirement a reality.
  • How closely will the adviser monitor your plan? Through the internet, 401(k) investors can keep an eye on their account daily if they so choose. Your adviser should be watching regularly, too, and sending you alerts if you need to rebalance or make other changes.
More detailed information on this topic can be found by clicking the article's link noted below.

Source:
Who'll Coodle Your Nest Egg
BusinessWeek Magazine
July 9, 2007
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/07_28/b4042402.htm


Sunday, June 10, 2007

Retirement Payout Mistakes

When it comes to deciding how to take payouts from retirement accounts, Kiplinger's Magazine cites four mistakes that must be avoided and could be costly to a retiree.
  • Withdrawing money too soon: Maybe a not so obvious fact are the strict rules surrounding IRA withdrawals before the age of 591/2. These rules permit a retiree to begin withdrawing funds from a 401k at age 55. This is known as the "55 and out" rule. The ability to take advantage of this option rests with each employer. Not surprisingly, all employers do not allow for a retiring employee to take advantage of the 55 and out distribution rule. Additionally, if the 401k is rolled into an IRA, an IRA holder can take what is known as 72(t) distributions. This distribution arrangement requires the IRA owner to take "substantially equal periodic payments" over his or her life expectancy. The payments must continue for five years or until the IRA owner reaches age 591/2, whichever is longer.
  • Interrupting annual payments: If the 72(t) payments are stopped prior to meeting the term or age requirement, the IRA owner will owe penalties and interest on all payments taken up until the time they were stopped. More information on 72(t) distributions can be found at www.72t.net.
  • Taking a check for rollover proceeds: If one decides to transfer a 401(k) to an IRA or another employer's 401(k), the check should be made payable to the new custodian. If the check is made payable to the account owner, the employer will withhold 20% for taxes and the owner will need to come up with that amount to fund the new target account. Otherwise, the 20% will be taxed and assessed a 10% early withdrawal penalty.
  • Forgetting about your spouse: The article (link below) discusses the pros and cons of including ones spouse to receive survivor benefits. With the survivor benefit option selected, the retiree will likely receive a smaller benefit payout.

Source:
Four Costly Retirement Mistakes You Can't Afford To Make
Kipliner's Personal Finance
By: Mary Beth Franklin
June 2007
http://www.kiplinger.com/features/archives/2007/06/Retirement_Mistakes.html


Monday, May 14, 2007

401(k) Inheritance Trap

Historically, only spouses were permitted to enjoy the tax benefit of extending withdrawals from a deceased spouses 401(k) over the surviving spouse's expected lifetime. This extension stretched out the tax liability to coincide with the withdrawals. In the past, non-spouse beneficiaries could stretch out withdrawals over only a 1-5 year period. However, this past summer, Congress extended this spousal benefit to anyone who inherits a 401(k). The problem though, is it is up to the plan sponsor whether or not they want to permit this special treatment.

According to a recent BusinessWeek article:
The IRS ruling lets employers choose whether to amend their 401(k) plans to make IRA transfers more widely available. While some companies, including IBM (IBM), Eastman Kodak (EK), and MetLife (MET), have done so, many have yet to consider the matter.

The best way to avoid problems? When you retire or leave a job, transfer your 401(k) to an IRA. That gets your nest egg out from under an employer's rules. You may also be able to take a so-called in-service distribution. A growing number of businesses let employees transfer money out of the plan while they're still on the payroll, says Ed Slott, (editor of Ed Slott's IRA Advisor). With an IRA, your heirs will be subject to the more favorable tax treatment.
Source:
A Costly Glitch For 401(k) Heirs
BusinessWeek
By: Anne Tergesen
May 21, 2007
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/07_21/b4035102.htm


Sunday, March 11, 2007

Determining an Asset Allocation in Retirement

As an investor approaches retirement age, the amount of investment funds available to them is a critical issue. Once an acceptable asset level is reached, entering retirement certainly seems to become a reality. Once retired a retiree does not want his or her investment assets exposed to significant declines due to downside investment market volatility.

The public portion of the American Association of Individual Investors' website contains an article, Retiree Stock Allocation Recommendations: Do You Fit the "Mold"? by William Reichenstein, CFA. The article discusses the differences in asset allocation recommendations among the various "lifestyle" type mutual funds from fund families like Vanguard, T. Rowe Price, to name a few. The recommended allocation to stocks ranges from 20% to 40% for retirees of the same age. An excerpt from the article notes:
Why the differences?

The recommendations for a 20% stock allocation most likely come from evidence from historical returns indicating that portfolios containing these stock exposures have a risk that is no higher than an all-bond portfolio, a risk level that is appropriate for a shorter-term time horizon.

The higher recommended stock allocations most likely are based on studies concerning withdrawal rates during retirement.

For example, one recent study found that, for individuals withdrawing funds each year from their portfolio, the probability of not outliving retirement resources was maximized when initial withdrawal rates were kept below 5% (with subsequent withdrawals increasing with inflation). For a 4.5% initial withdrawal rate, the probability was maximized with portfolios consisting of 40% stocks and 60% fixed income (including both bonds and cash) over a 30-year time horizon, while for a 4% initial withdrawal rate, the probability is maximized with an allocation of 30% stocks and 70% fixed income. [For a complete description of this study, see "Bear Market Strategies: Watch the Spending, Hold the Stocks," a study by T. Rowe Price, in the May 2003 AAII Journal].

So, who should you believe—the 20% crowd or the 35% to 40% crowd?
A retiree's/investor's allocation to stocks/bonds/cash depends on a number of factors. The article provides a cursory review of some of these factors, for example, time horizon, asset levels, withdrawal rates, and a retiree's health.

Lastly, a brief analysis is provided regarding international diversification and the potential drag on returns that cash can create over longer periods of time.

Source:
Retiree Stock Allocation Recommendations: Do You Fit the "Mold"?
American Association of Individual Investors
By: William Reichenstein, CFA
http://www.aaii.com/features/jrnl200402p25.pdf


Friday, February 09, 2007

Intentionally Defective Grantor Trusts

An intentionally defective grantor trust (IDGT) is a grantor trust for income tax purposes, but a completed gift for estate and gift tax purposes. This tax strategy manages to reduce both gift and estate taxes through a so-called estate freeze. Although this estate planning technique has been available as a planning tool for sometime, IDGTs have become more popular recently due to the relatively low interest rate environment. In establishing an IDGT, an individual sells to the trust an asset such as, stock, closely held or family business interest, real estate or limited partnership interest in a family limited partnership, at the assets fair market value in return for an installment note.

According to Mark Stone of Margolin, Winer and Evens LLP, 

a sale to the IDGT is not recognized for income tax purposes because the grantor and the trust are treated as the same entity. This treatment is based on the conclusion in Revenue Ruling 85-13, which was subsequently reaffirmed in PLR 9535026. The grantor in this PLR sold assets to an IDGT in exchange for a 20-year promissory note. In addition to concluding that the sale is not recognized for income tax purposes, the PLR concluded that the trust purchasing the assets would assume the respective grantor’s basis in those assets transferred. Because the sale in the PLR was consummated with a note, the PLR also concluded that the interest component of the note had no income tax consequence to either the payer or the payee.

...the grantor will not recognize any gain on the sale. As a grantor trust, the grantor will be responsible for paying income taxes on the trust’s activity. The grantor is responsible for this tax liability because of a legal obligation imposed by statute under Section 671. The grantor’s payments of tax on the trust income not only will satisfy the grantor’s legal obligation, but will provide another form of a "tax-free gift" to the trust’s remainderman beneficiaries. This treatment presents the grantor tremendous planning opportunities, since the trust’s assets will not be depleted by taxes.
To illustrate the tax planning opportunity afforded in this scenario, let us assume a taxpayer makes a one-time gift of $1 million to a trust that earns a 9 percent taxable return and that the taxpayer is subject to a 40 percent effective tax rate. Based on these facts, the trust would earn $90,000 of income in year one and accrue a tax of $36,000. Upon payment of this income tax, the grantor’s estate tax liability would be reduced by $18,000 ($36,000 x 50%) in the first year, with comparable savings available to the grantor’s estate in subsequent years. This is in addition to the estate tax reduction of the initial $1 million gift.
In some instances, the grantor may not have the desire or financial resources to pay the income taxes. If either of these conditions exist, the trust may provide the trustee of the defective trust the discretion, but not the obligation, to remit a tax reimbursement payment for any taxes paid by the grantor on income generated by the trust.
A risk of establishing an IDGT is the asset in the trust underperforms the Applicable Federal Rate (AFR). The AFR is the rate established for the note. The result could be the grantor needs to repay the note and pay the interest, otherwise the asset sale is recharacterized as a gift.

There are securities laws considerations as well. Some assets, such as holdings in private equity securities, are not eligible due to restrictions in limiting the sale of investments to qualified purchasers or accredited investors. A trust also needs $5 million in assets or a qualified bank trustee to meet this requirement according to Everett P. Ingalls of Pierce Atwood LLP.

A number of additional factors must be considered when evaluating the appropriateness of establishing an IDGT. Before establishing an IDGT, an individual must consult their legal and/or accounting advisors. More detail can be found in an article published in the Journal of Financial Planning at this link.

Source:
The IDGT: The Effective Defective Grantor Trust
FPA Journal
By: Mark Stone, CPA, PFS, CFP, MST
September, 2002


Monday, January 08, 2007

An Investor's Focus Should Be On Risk

If equity market history has a tendency to repeat itself, an investor will want to pay particular attention to the risk he or she is willing to assume in constructing their investment portfolio.

Zvi Bodie and Paula Hogan wrote an article, For Long-Term Investors, the Focus Should Be on Risk, that begins:
There is a common notion that stocks, at least if held for a long-time, usually outperform other assets, so that stocks should be the cornerstone of any long-term portfolio.

If, when this idea is presented, you protest: “Wait a minute. Stocks are also risky!” the reply is either, “Stocks have done well in the past and so they will probably also do well in the future,” or “If you have a long time horizon, you’ll do well in stocks.”

However, the thoughtful investor must also wonder: “But what if stocks don’t do well? What happens then to my retirement?”

And in this self query, the more appropriate approach becomes clear: It makes more sense to think first about what risk you are able and willing to bear, and then to think about what potential investment returns you might be able to capture...
Risk is not simply losing money in a down market, but is experiencing a return that does not result in an investor's investment assets attaining annual asset level targets at the same time regular withdrawals are being made from the investments. Bodie and Hogan note in their article:
"The fact is, lower than expected returns could happen—even for many years in a row—which is exactly what makes stock ownership a risky investment, not a certainty. Lower-than-expected returns that last for a long time and/or that are severe in nature would have the impact of dramatically lowering the ending value of your portfolio, and thus could significantly threaten your ability to meet financial goals. While the probability of such an event is low, the consequences are potentially devastating and so are worthy of careful consideration. What the current reasoning omits is the fact that as the investor’s time horizon lengthens, the range of possible ending values for the portfolio also increases, and that these widening ranges include the low, but still positive possibility of a whoppingly low actual versus expected portfolio ending value (emphasis added)."
Also contained in the article are examples of different portfolio returns along with withdrawal assumptions. The examples note that negative returns can be detrimental to one achieving retirement goals and objectives.

Historically, a dividend growth portfolio has been less volatile in down markets. If the market is down -20% and ones investment portfolio is down -18%, the investor has beat the market on a relative basis, but likely not achieved retirement goals and objectives. Bodie and Hogan address this issue in their article and conclude:

In sum, rather than reaching for a high stock return because it might come true, the goal of investing is better expressed as having enough cash on the day a bill comes due—for example, for college tuition for your children, and/or enough cash to maintain or improve your standard of living throughout retirement with minimal chance of having to go backward in your daily standard of living. These are the typical actual concerns of individual investors.

Against this standard, beating one’s peers or surpassing the market averages, or achieving a particular targeted rate of return all pale in comparative appeal. As the investment saying goes: “You can’t eat relative returns.”


Source:
For Long-Term Investors, the Focus Should Be on Risk
The American Association of Individual Investors
By Zvi Bodie and Paula H. Hogan
2007





Monday, December 25, 2006

Financial Savings Targets

A key aspect in developing ones investment plan is establishing a financial plan to ensure goals and objectives are being achieved on an ongoing basis. An important component of the plan is the development of specific asset value targets to be achieved on an annual basis.

An article recently published in the Journal of Financial Planning, Personal Financial Ratios: An Elegant Road Map to Financial Health and Retirement describes a process to determine what level of investment assets may be required in order to retire in comfort.

The article contains the following executive summary:
  • "Investors commonly use stock ratios such as the price to earnings, price to book, and dividend yield to assess the financial health of a company because the ratios concisely benchmark a company's financial status.
  • Clients and their financial advisors have no comparable ratios that would allow investors to conduct a similar analysis of their personal financial circumstances. This article establishes a set of personal financial ratios that individuals can use to analyze their financial standing. Just as stock ratios are primarily based on a company's earnings, the personal financial ratios are based on an individual's income. There are three ratios: savings to income, debt to income, and savings rate to income.
  • The ratios are derived from a series of assumptions including household budgets, post-retirement income replacement, rates of return, and retirement distribution rates.
  • The ratios are designed to serve as a road map so that investors can compare their individual ratios against the benchmarks to determine whether they are on track to retire by age 65. The ratios serve as a practical tool for advisors to help convey to their clients the fundamental relationship between one's income, debt, and savings rate, and how those relationships must change over time."
The article concludes by stating, "...ratios also provide households with a practical tool for analyzing their personal finances and the progress they are making toward financial independence." The article provides a process an investor can go through in determining appropriate levels of retirement savings needed at various stages in their lifecycle.


Source:
Personal Financial Ratios: An Elegant Road Map to Financial Health and Retirement
By: Charles J. Farrell, J.D., LL.M.
January, 2006
http://www.fpanet.org/journal/articles/2006_Issues/jfp0106-art6.cfm


Friday, December 08, 2006

Personal Finance FAQ

On the free content portion of the American Association of Individual Investors, the site contains several articles on reaching retirement goals and common personal finance questions. One of the articles contained the following outline of personal finance questions:
The responses for each category are meant as guidelines. An investor should tailor a financial plan to fit their own goals and objectives.

One important outcome from the development of a financial plan is a road map for the construction of your investment portfolio. The target rates of return for ones investments should be to achieve specific asset level targets laid out in the financial plan. The investment performance, on a year to year basis, should be tied less to a specific market benchmark. The benchmark should be to achieve specific asset levels that are outlined in ones financial plan and not benchmarks like the S&P 500 Index.

Investment portfolios build around a foundation of dividend growth stocks allows an investor a higher probability of achieving the specific asset target levels since dividend growth equities tend to hold their value better in a down market. An important characteristic of dividend growth stocks is their lower volatility in down markets. Not that one should only manage their portfolio to not lose value, but in down markets, with withdrawals coming out of the portfolio, the future required return to get back to the original market value will be larger. For example, if the market is down 20% and withdrawals from the portfolio are 5% annually, to reach the prior years market value, one would need a return of approximately 33%.